Chaotic Crisis and Economic Development Profit for Business and Stability for Government
Our globalized social and industrial environment is under attack from diverse quarters. An increasing number of “Crisis” regularly overwhelm our capacity to manage. This loss of control in the midst of Crisis has huge negative and destructive impacts on politics and industry. This is how we define “Chaotic Crisis”. This new found vulnerability is increasing due to various causes : industrial outsourcing, energy networks and pervasive communications which facilitate the rippling effect of events throughout our universe.
The origins of “Chaotic Crisis” today are as follows :
- natural phenomena such as Hurricanes, Tsunamis, Earthquakes, Floods and so on,
- criminal acts such as Terrorism,
- large scale Industrial Accidents,
- health crisis such as the Flu Pandemic.
All such Crisis are increasing both in quantity and in quality (magnitude of impact). This increasing tendency is forecasted to last for a decade or more. Therefore it is essential to prepare ourselves so that the next impact will not wipe out the business enterprise or unduly disorganize social cohesion.
Chaotic Crisis cannot be explained fully by using the traditional science and logic. Chaotic Crisis follow the logic Chaos and Complexity Theory. Chaos theory uses non linear logic and algorithms to explain processes which may appear at first hand inconceivable. Chaos Theory brings hope for it tells us that it is at the border of chaos that one can find the greatest potential for innovation and therefore profit. Lessons Learned from past Crisis prove that all the Businesses which envisioned the inconceivable, then organized accordingly, then adapted themselves to the dynamics within the crisis, made huge profits in the initial stages of reconstruction.
Qualities must be developed and knowhow acquired to profit fully from the innovation opportunities which come in the wake of a Chaotic Crisis :
- people management geared to achieve social cohesion,
- business adaptation both from a human standpoint and structurally.
- Innovation capacity,
- “All Risks” vision of risks rather than fragmentation,
- Crisis Management which includes the inconceivable,
- a vision of “Sustainable Development” focused on systemic wealth generation,
- risk analysis in the context of Globalized Intelligence,
- Interoperable Communications System,
- a Supply Chain and Logistics Network which can reconfigure itself to adapt both from a capacity and functional standpoint.
Protection Totale Engineering Group
Dr. Michael Nesterenko
1 Carrefour de Rive
1207 Geneva - Switzerland
Tel : + 41 22 735 7900